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4.3 Daily load profiles and peak demand

Key idea: The daily total sets the heat pump size; the peak hours set the storage size.

A load profile shows how much hot water is drawn in each hour of the day. Hotels and hostels have sharp morning peaks. Hospitals draw more evenly through the day.

A heat pump heats slowly but steadily. A storage tank is like an overhead water tank: it fills slowly and can be emptied quickly. The tank covers the peak while the heat pump catches up.

Typical daily hot water draw by hour
Typical daily hot water draw by hour

There is a trade-off. A bigger tank lets you use a smaller heat pump that runs longer. A smaller tank needs a bigger heat pump that can follow the peak.

Design choice Heat pump Storage Suits
Large storage Smaller, runs 16–20 h 30–50% of daily volume Hotels, hostels with sharp peaks
Medium storage Medium, runs 12–16 h 20–30% of daily volume Most commercial jobs
Small storage Large, follows load 10–15% of daily volume Hospitals, process with even draw

Worked example — storage for a peak period

A hostel uses 6,000 L/day at 60 °C. Cold water is 25 °C. The morning peak (6–9 am) takes 35% of the day. The heat pump delivers 20 kW. Usable storage fraction is 0.75 (the bottom of the tank mixes with incoming cold water).

Equation

  • Peak draw = 0.35 × 6,000 = 2,100 L
  • Recovery in 3 h = 20 × 3 ÷ (35 × 0.001163) = 60 ÷ 0.0407 = 1,474 L
  • Net from tank = 2,100 − 1,474 = 626 L
  • Storage = 626 ÷ 0.75 = 835 L → select 1,000 L

Remember

  • Daily kWh ÷ running hours = heat pump capacity.
  • Peak period draw minus recovery = storage need.
  • Only about 70–80% of a tank is usable hot water.
  • Hostels have the sharpest peaks; hospitals the flattest.
Field tip: Ask the client for check-in/check-out times, shift changes and laundry hours. These create the real peaks.

The daily total sets the heat pump size; the peak hours set the storage size.

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